Much is made of the strikeout
today, too much in our opinion. But since there is a great fascination
with the K, we thought we would look at the strikeout in a way that you
may not have considered before…we’ll take a look at the batters BIP
average (Balls In Play).
BIP
measures what a players average would be if you simply subtracted K
and then figured out his batting average (AB-K= new at bats total, which
is then divided by hits). Let’s take Jim Thome as an example.
Jim Thome is batting .285 this year
(372 AB with 106 hits) with 109 K.
372 AB- 109 K= 263 AB
106 HITS/263 AB= .403
Therefore his BIP average is
.403. Simple right?
Of course the resulting BIP
average does not have anything to do with the hitters overall
average because we are only counting what the hitters average is in at
bats where they actually hit the ball.
In PART I we will detail the BIP
leaders thus far in 2004. In PART II we will discuss all of the seasons
in history when a batter had 150 K in a season.
PART I
K Leaders as of August 8th,
2004
|
Adam Dunn
|
134
|
Alfonso Soriano
|
92
|
|
Craig Wilson
|
115
|
Lyle Overbay
|
91
|
|
Jim Thome
|
109
|
Derrek Lee
|
88
|
|
Jermaine Dye
|
109
|
Royce Clayton
|
88
|
|
Hank Blalock
|
108
|
Manny Ramírez
|
86
|
|
Jim Edmonds
|
107
|
David Ortiz
|
85
|
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
104
|
Jeromy Burnitz
|
84
|
|
Jason Varitek
|
96
|
Bobby Abreu
|
84
|
|
Álex Rodríguez
|
95
|
Eric Byrnes
|
79
|
|
Casey Blake
|
93
|
Vinny Castilla
|
76
|
This list is mostly populated by
some HR hitting sluggers…but a few names jump out as not really
fitting that mold: BYRNES, CLAYTON, OVERBAY, BLAKE and VARITEK.
No matter what the reason, these guys sure strike out a
lot. But this is not what we are interested in here, we are interested
in BIP. In the table that follows we will list the BIP
leaders in 2004 (as of August 8th, 2004).
AB H AVG K BIP AVG
| |
AB |
Hits |
Avg |
Ks |
BIP Avg |
|
Jim Edmonds
|
353
|
106
|
0.300
|
107
|
0.431
|
|
Adam Dunn
|
383
|
107
|
0.279
|
134
|
0.430
|
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
408
|
129
|
0.316
|
104
|
0.424
|
|
Melvin Mora
|
339
|
118
|
0.348
|
58
|
0.420
|
|
Lyle Overbay
|
405
|
130
|
0.321
|
91
|
0.414
|
|
Manny Ramírez
|
387
|
124
|
0.320
|
86
|
0.412
|
|
Scott Rolen
|
391
|
132
|
0.338
|
68
|
0.409
|
|
Travis Hafner
|
363
|
117
|
0.322
|
75
|
0.406
|
|
Iván Rodríguez
|
382
|
131
|
0.343
|
59
|
0.406
|
|
Jim Thome
|
372
|
106
|
0.285
|
109
|
0.403
|
|
Jason Varitek
|
321
|
89
|
0.277
|
96
|
0.396
|
|
Craig Wilson
|
397
|
111
|
0.280
|
115
|
0.394
|
|
Ichiro Suzuki
|
487
|
174
|
0.357
|
43
|
0.392
|
|
David Ortiz
|
406
|
125
|
0.308
|
85
|
0.389
|
|
Jeromy Burnitz
|
382
|
116
|
0.304
|
84
|
0.389
|
|
J.D. Drew
|
359
|
111
|
0.309
|
73
|
0.388
|
|
Barry Bonds
|
255
|
90
|
0.353
|
22
|
0.386
|
|
Carlos Guillén
|
415
|
134
|
0.323
|
68
|
0.386
|
|
Derrek Lee
|
407
|
122
|
0.300
|
88
|
0.382
|
|
Erubiel Durazo
|
343
|
104
|
0.303
|
71
|
0.382
|
|
Phil Nevin
|
359
|
109
|
0.304
|
73
|
0.381
|
|
Lance Berkman
|
362
|
111
|
0.307
|
70
|
0.380
|
|
Álex Sánchez
|
332
|
107
|
0.322
|
50
|
0.379
|
|
Vlad Guerrero
|
425
|
139
|
0.327
|
57
|
0.378
|
|
Adrián Béltre
|
401
|
130
|
0.324
|
56
|
0.377
|
*** If you wish to view the entire list
of all 2004 hitters who currently have enough at bats to qualify for the
batting title and their corresponding BIP totals, see:
http://wildpitch.blogspot.com/2004/08/bip-averages-ballsinplay.html
Now its no surprise to see DUNN at
the top of the list since he leads the league in K, but it is a bit
surprising to see that he is 2nd behind EDMONDS. In fact
there are 10 players who have a BIP over .400, an all of those
players would have to be considered fantasy all-stars this season
(though MORA OVERBAY and HAFNER were left of the actual team MLB all
star teams). These 10 men also have a chance at producing some
historically high BIP totals, totals that would place them in the
top 25 all-time if they were to reach the 150 K threshold that we will
be discussing below.
PART II
Here are the All-Time BIP
Leaders for those who had over 150 K in a season
AB H K BIP
| |
|
AB |
Hits |
Ks |
BIP |
|
JimThome
|
2001
|
526
|
153
|
185
|
0.449
|
|
JoseHernandez
|
2002
|
525
|
151
|
188
|
0.448
|
|
SammySosa
|
2001
|
577
|
189
|
153
|
0.446
|
|
MoVaughan
|
1997
|
527
|
166
|
154
|
0.445
|
|
SammySosa
|
2000
|
604
|
193
|
168
|
0.443
|
|
JimEdmonds
|
2000
|
525
|
155
|
167
|
0.433
|
|
MoVaughan
|
1996
|
635
|
207
|
154
|
0.430
|
|
MarkMcGwire
|
1998
|
509
|
152
|
155
|
0.429
|
|
JimThome
|
1999
|
494
|
137
|
171
|
0.424
|
|
WillieStargell
|
1971
|
511
|
151
|
154
|
0.423
|
|
Bobby Bonds
|
1970
|
663
|
200
|
189
|
0.422
|
|
SammySosa
|
1998
|
643
|
198
|
171
|
0.419
|
|
PrestonWilson
|
1999
|
482
|
135
|
156
|
0.414
|
|
JorgePosada
|
2000
|
505
|
145
|
151
|
0.410
|
|
JoseCanseco
|
1990
|
481
|
132
|
158
|
0.409
|
|
RayLankford
|
1998
|
533
|
156
|
151
|
0.408
|
|
AndresGalarraga
|
1996
|
626
|
190
|
157
|
0.405
|
|
PeteIncavilia
|
1987
|
509
|
138
|
168
|
0.405
|
|
CecilFielder
|
1990
|
573
|
159
|
180
|
0.405
|
|
AndresGalarraga
|
1988
|
609
|
184
|
153
|
0.404
|
|
GregLuzinski
|
1975
|
596
|
179
|
151
|
0.402
|
|
TroyGlaus
|
2000
|
563
|
160
|
163
|
0.400
|
|
DickAllen
|
1965
|
619
|
187
|
150
|
0.399
|
|
SammySosa
|
1999
|
625
|
180
|
171
|
0.396
|
|
HenryRodriguez
|
1996
|
532
|
147
|
160
|
0.395
|
|
RobDeer
|
1987
|
474
|
113
|
186
|
0.392
|
|
ReggieJackson
|
1982
|
530
|
146
|
156
|
0.390
|
|
BradWilkerson
|
2002
|
507
|
135
|
161
|
0.390
|
|
DannyTartabull
|
1986
|
511
|
138
|
157
|
0.390
|
*** If you wish to view the entire
list of all hitters who ever accumulated 150 K in a season and their BIP
scores see: http://wildpitch.blogspot.com/2004/08/bip-averages-ballsinplay.html
THOME has the highest single season BIP of all-time,
being followed closely by JOSE “I think my eyelash is hurt so you had
better sit me out so I don’t break the single season strikeout
record” HERNANDEZ. Multiple offenders on this list include: SOSA 4,
Thome 2, GALARRAGA 2, and VAUGHAN 2.
For those of you who think that
strikeouts are on the rise, the data supports you. Here is a breakdown
by decade of 150 K seasons.
1960-69 = 10
1970-79 = 12
1980-89 = 26
1990-99 = 33
2000-03 = 29
In fact, the oldest season where a
batter accumulated 150 K is 1963 (Nicholson 175/ Lock 151 ) , over 60
years after the modern era began!
A few more tables:
Highest average for a 150 K season
|
Sosa
|
2001
|
.328
|
|
Vaughan
|
1996
|
.326
|
|
Sosa
|
2000
|
.320
|
|
Vaughan
|
1997
|
.315
|
|
Sosa
|
1998
|
.308
|
|
Galarraga
|
1996
|
.304
|
|
Galarraga
|
1988
|
.302
|
|
Bob Bonds
|
1970
|
.302
|
|
Allen
|
1965
|
.302
|
|
Soriano
|
2002
|
.300
|
Lowest average for a 150 K season
|
Deer
|
1991
|
.179
|
|
Kingman
|
1982
|
.204
|
|
Deer
|
1989
|
.210
|
|
Deer
|
1993
|
.210
|
|
Tettleton
|
1990
|
.223
|
|
Alexander
|
1978
|
.225
|
|
Hernandez
|
2003
|
.225
|
|
Burroughs
|
1975
|
.226
|
|
Nicholson
|
1963
|
.229
|
|
Palmer
|
1992
|
.229
|
Most hits in a season with 150 K
Soriano (2002)- 209
Vaughan (1996)- 207
BobbyBonds (1970)- 200
Sosa (1998)- 198
Sosa (2000)- 193
Fewest hits in a season with 150 K
Deer (1991)- 80
Deer (1989)- 98
Deer (1993)- 98
Tettleton (1990)- 99
Nicholson (1963)- 103
So next time your at the park and
its 100 degrees and your dying for a Slurpee, take heart. Not only will
some free swinger undoubtedly step to the plate to cool you off with
some mighty hacks, but remember you also now have a new tool to keep
your brain from turning to mush… you’ve got BIP.
RAYS NOTES:
Who the heck was Rob Deer for those of you who don’t
remember? Deer came up in the Giants farm system as a strapping power
hitter…he just never developed anything resembling strikezone
discipline or a two-strike swing. In 3881 career at bats, Deer hit .220
with 230 HR, 600 RBI, a .324 OBP, a .766 OPS and 1409 K…or a strikeout
in 36.3% of his career at bats!
Ray Flowers can be reached with
comments/questions or suggestions at: ray@drafthelp.com
You can also visit Rays’ blog
at www.wildpitch.blogspot.com
for a full review of all of his recent articles an other interesting
stuff.