As with last season’s list the purpose of this
report is to identify players that are potentially too high or too low in
everyone’s rankings. We are
not advocating taking Lamar Smith over Marshall Faulk, but if Lamar falls
to the 4th round in your league you’d better grab him. We also identify players that are obviously over-hyped and
should not warrant the pick they are likely to go at in your league.
Picks for 2002
- Brian Griese, QB Den
Wuerffel, QB Was
James, RB Ind
- Drew Bledsoe, QB Buf
Smith, RB Car
- Antonio Freeman, WR
- Eric Moulds, WR Buf
Taylor, RB Jack
Barber, RB NYG
- Terry Glenn, WR GB
Luft's Picks for 2002
Taylor, RB Jack
Lewis, RB Balt
Thomas, RB Chic
Price, WR Buf
Conway, WR SD
Freeman, WR Phil
Morton, WR KC
Jackson, WR SEA
Gannon, QB Oak
Alstott, RB TB
- Shaun Alexander, RB
Holmes, RB KC
Smith, RB Dal
McAllister, RB NO
- Aaron Brooks, QB NO
- James Thrash, WR
Vick, QB Atl
Carr, QB Hou
Green, QB KC
Alstott, RB TB
Moss, WR Min
- Jimmy "Hold
Out" Smith, WR Jack
Pittman, RB TB
Green, RB Clev
Schroeder, WR Det
Alexander, WR Min
Brady, QB NE
Vick, QB Atl
Jones, RB Ari
Brunnell, QB Jack
SLEEPERS - Review and Analysis
He will be the 4th or 5th best fantasy quarterback in football this year.
A healthy Eddie McCaffery and the return of Shannon Sharpe at
TE, and of course a top-5 RC on anyone’s list in Rod Smith will give
the Broncos the best RC core in the NFL.
Griese had a very disappointing season last year, but should
rebound nicely. If you
don’t have a QB in the 2nd round then you should consider
him, if he is till on your board in the 3rd then you MUST
This guy is a legitimate 2nd-tier QB this season.
I rank him the 10th or 11th best in the
league. He is familiar
with the high-powered offensive system the Redskins will utilize.
He has two very underrated RC’s in Rob Gardner and Jaquez
Green. He’ll probably
still be on the board in the 9th or 10th round
of your draft, if he is, then you need to take him.
He could approach 3000+ yards and throw 25+ TD’s, well worth
a shot in the mid-rounds.
note: the day after this was published Wuerffel lost his starting job
to Shane Matthews. You should adjust your rankings accordingly and
move Wuerffel to the end of your draft board (he’s still worth a
gamble with a very late pick.))
He’ll regain his form from 2001 and before. He’ll likely still be on the board in the 2nd
round of your draft, if he is, then jump all over him.
He will have 15+ TD’s and over 2000 yds from scrimmage. I
have him as the 3rd best RB this year, behind Faulk and
Rickey Williams. The
“Edge” will not disappoint this year.
A player with a lot to prove and the RC core that will help him do it.
Eric Moulds and Peerless Price are one of the top-5 combo’s
in the league. Bledsoe is
the 7th or 8th best QB in the league this year
fantasy wise. If he makes
it to the 3rd round in your league you should take him.
Smith: It looks like his competition in Carolina De'Shaun Foster may
come up lame. Even
without this injury Smith is still the best RB on the team.
He has a chance to regain his 1000+ yard 10+ TD form.
He is a power back that the Panters will go to at the goal
line. He is no worse than
a 5th or 6th round pick in your league.
A man without a job a few weeks ago.
Now it looks like he will be the primary target in Philly.
Another player with a lot to prove, a 1000+ yard and 10+ TD
season is well within reach. A solid 6th or 7th
round pick in any league.
Finally he has a legitimate passing QB to get him the ball. A 1500+
yard 12+ TD season is on the way.
In my opinion he is the 4th best RC right after
Moss, Owens, and Harrison. He’ll likely fall to the 4th or 5th
round in you league, if he does, then don’t hesitate on taking him.
Likely forgotten on a number of lists this season.
Taylor is worthy of a late 3rd or early 4th round
pick. He should see 1200+
yards and 10+ TD’s this year. The
word is he is healthy, if so, he is one of the top-10 backs in the
Outside of the East Coast this guy is underrated by nearly everyone. He should approach 1800+ all-purpose yards.
He may not score as many TD’s as other featured backs, but he
always seems to still be on the board in the 4th or 5th
round in most leagues.
Should be the primary target for Favre in GB.
Glenn is another player with a lot of talent and a lot to prove
this season. He could
join the league’s elite RC list once again.
He is a solid pick in the 4th or 5th
round of your draft.
It's whether or or not he can run or not it's more like can this guy
stay healthy long enough to help? I think he can. In
fact, with Smith Holding out who else is going to touch the
ball? On top of that he gets to run over the Houston
Defense twice. Not to mention the helpless Indy "D"
twice. If his offensive line can stay healthy there is not
reason not to expect the Taylor of old to return. Don't run out
and make him your number 1 pick, but if he is hanging around in the
3rd, you better jump all over him. 1200yds 7td range and 1
Has already looked good in camp and in live action. In fact he
even thinks he is completely back, when was the last time you heard
that? Oh, wait that was Terrell telling me that, seriously
though, he has looked very good and easily pushes himself into the top
20 in RBs this year. Chester Taylor is at least another year
away from taking away carries. Take him right after
Taylor. 950 yds 7td and 1 receiving.
Thomas: Not a huge sleeper but in the drafts I have been in
already he has slid a lot farther than he should falling to the 3rd
round in a number of drafts including the FSIC experts draft we
participated in. Easily a top 10 RB and with any luck Robinson can
stay healthy and help to open the field even more. 1400
Last year was no fluke this kid can burn and with a legitimate QB it
is only going to get better. Top it off by putting Moulds
opposite him and we are easily talking 1000+ yds and 7tds...
Those poor corners are not even going to know what hit them. He is a
great sleeper pick in the late 4th to 5th rounds when all the big 'names'
I know Nathan has him on his stinkers list but hey Pittman isn't
healthy and who else is going to touch the ball. Worse case,
some small back will run from the 30 to 30 and Alstott will finish off
the rest. So not a ton of yards again this year but the scoring
should be as good if not better since the passing game will have
improved with McCardell's addition.
STINKERS - Review and Analysis
Talk about a player that has been over-hyped by the media: Alexander
is a prime example. I can’t believe he is listed as a top-3 pick
everywhere I look. I
don’t even have this guy in my top-20.
One season does not make a Shaun Alexander as valuable as a
Ricky Williams, Curtis Martin, or a Corey Dillon. These are all guys I
would take long before Alexander this season.
Don’t let one good season fool you (remember Icky Woods?)
Let some other sucker blow a 1st round pick on this
Another guy that is listed as a top-10 pick by most.
He had a career year, but don’t expect anything that even
remotely approaches last season’s league leading performance.
I peg him as a 3rd round pick, in the same group as
a Fred Taylor, but rest assured that some sucker in your league will
take him in the 1st or 2nd round.
I still love Emmitt, but it’s all over for him.
After he breaks Payton’s career rushing record this year
don’t expect to see much more of him.
He needs a little over 500 yards for the record and it will
probably take him 9-10 games to get there.
After that he’ll likely be used as a back-up since Dallas is
likely to be 2-8 at that point. Take
a gamble on someone else this year.
Don’t confuse this guy for Ricky Williams, because he definitely is
NOT. I would not touch
the Deuce before the 5th or 6th round, but you
cab bet someone in your league will take him by the 3rd or
4th. He may approach 1000 yards but he’ll be lucky to
score 8 TD’s and he may not have the durability to last the entire
His fall last season was not as dramatic as I predicted.
You can wager that in most leagues Brooks will go long before
Griese or Bledsoe, this is a huge mistake.
Let another team in your league watch Brooks rake in 20-25 INTs
and little more.
- Thrash: See A. Freeman above.
Thrash is no longer the go-to-guy in Philly.
He’s a second option; you should not consider drafting him in
the 1st 10 rounds.
in 2003 he may be a candidate for our “Sleepers” list.
But this year will be a long learning experience for Vick.
He may score 4 or 5 TD’s on the ground, but he’ll likely
have more picks than TD passes (something that is not easily
achieved.) Let Vick develop on someone else’s roster.
As with Vick it’s generally best to avoid young QB’s unless you
are in a keeper league and can afford to have them on your bench for
an entire season. If your league has negative points for INT’s you may
be better off with a blank spot than Carr in your lineup this season,
his year will be as painful if not more than Vick’s.
I saw this guy go before Bledsoe and Griese in a draft last week as
well. Tony Gonzalez may not play this year, and no one will be
impacted by this more than Green.
Let someone else in your league deal with Green’s frustrating
Michael Pittamn should get a majority of the carries in TB.
In the past Dunn would get the Buccs into the red zone and
Alstott would get the glory of the TD.
However, this year the Buccs are likely to let Pittman keep the
ball the entire time. If
you get Pittman you may want to consider Alstott, otherwise let
another team in your league watch him on the bench.
- Randy Moss:
Ok, I know after reading Nathan's Alexander blow off your
thinking what are these guys talking about. Now, I am by
no means saying you shouldn't draft him in the 2nd round.
I am just saying let someone else waste a #1 on him. He
was shut down most of last season with C.Carter there. Now
what can we expect double and sometimes triple coverage's the
entire game, he will still get his 1300 yards and can
outjump most of the NFL for at least 10+ Tds (probably 12 or
so)... But please don't rush out and take him with your #5
overall pick. (For the recored I have Shaun Alexander my
#4 RB and #6 overall, sorry Nathan).
- J.Smith: Holding
out Still... Enough Said
- Pittman: Trying to
comeback from knee and ankle injuries before the season starts,
did finally see action in the last preseason game, He by no
means warrants a top 20 RB rating and should really be an after
thought instead of a #2 for your team.
- W.Green: still
trying to hold off Jamal White for the #1 Running back in
Cleveland. Sore shoulder and has been keeping him out of
practices and may be worth a VERY late pick but not as high I
have been seeing go. Let someone else take that chance
that are plenty of similar backs out there to contend with.
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